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Could a Trump Election Victory Send Bitcoin to $100K? A Deep Dive into the 2024 US Elections and Their Impact on Crypto

by | October 22, 2024 - 11:33

Trump & Bitcoin - Created by Gabor Kovacs from DailyCoin
Trump Bitcoin Created by Gabor Kovacs from DailyCoin

Image from: Dailycoin

As we edge closer to the 2024 US presidential election, the cryptocurrency market is becoming increasingly intertwined with the political landscape. With former US President Donald Trump making a strong comeback as the Republican nominee, many crypto traders and investors are curious about what a Trump victory could mean for Bitcoin, altcoins, and the broader market. Could Trump’s pro-crypto policies push Bitcoin to $100K and further boost altcoins?

In this article, we’ll explore how a Trump victory could affect the ongoing crypto bull market, potential policy changes, and what it could mean for the future of Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, and decentralized finance.

The Connection Between US Elections and Crypto in 2024

Never before has cryptocurrency played such a significant role in the US elections. With growing interest in digital assets, blockchain technology, and decentralized finance (DeFi), the future of crypto is now part of the political conversation. While some candidates like Democratic nominee Kamala Harris have been more reserved in their approach to crypto, Trump’s vocal support for the industry has caught the attention of investors and traders.

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Crypto analysts like Satoshi Flipper have emphasized that a Trump victory could act as a major catalyst for Bitcoin and altcoin growth. According to their analysis, the potential for a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment under Trump hasn’t yet been priced into the market.

Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket also suggest that Trump’s chances of winning are on the rise, with his probability now standing at 60%. While some concerns have been raised about market manipulation, platforms like Kalshi insist these figures are a fair reflection of current political sentiment.

Trump’s Pro-Crypto Policies: What Could Change?

Trump has outlined several key policies that could greatly benefit the crypto space. Among his most notable promises is the firing of current US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler. Although Trump may not have the direct authority to do this, he could demote Gensler and nominate a new SEC chair aligned with his pro-crypto agenda.

This shift in regulatory leadership would be a major win for the crypto community. A new SEC chair could pave the way for faster approvals of Bitcoin ETFs and altcoin ETFs, driving increased adoption across the crypto market. Ripple’s XRP and Solana have already emerged as frontrunners for ETF consideration, potentially propelling their prices alongside Bitcoin.

Moreover, Trump’s commitment to reducing regulatory hurdles could accelerate the growth of decentralized finance (DeFi) and other emerging sectors like decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN). This would boost confidence in crypto markets and potentially lead to a surge in altcoin investments.

Could Bitcoin Hit $100K Under Trump’s Presidency?

One of the most optimistic projections comes from Erik Finman, a teenage Bitcoin millionaire. He believes that Trump’s pro-crypto policies could create a favorable environment for Bitcoin, allowing it to surpass the $100,000 mark during his second term. Finman argues that Trump’s economic policies, including lowering capital gains taxes and fostering a crypto-friendly environment, would attract significant investments and propel Bitcoin’s value to new heights.

Polymarket prediction market bet pool for US presidential election outcome as of Oct. 18.
Polymarket prediction market bet pool for US presidential election outcome as of Oct 18

Source: Polymarket

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Pseudonymous trader Crypto Rand agrees, stating that Trump’s non-hostile stance towards cryptocurrencies alone could spark a major rally in the market. The combination of regulatory clarity and reduced resistance from the SEC would likely encourage institutional investors to increase their crypto exposure.

How Will Altcoins Respond to a Trump Win?

While Bitcoin is likely to benefit from a Trump victory, altcoins could see even more significant gains. Analysts like Alex Thorn from Galaxy Digital argue that altcoins stand to gain the most from regulatory changes under a Trump administration. As Bitcoin is already well-established and benefits from clearer regulations, altcoins like XRP, Ethereum, and Solana could finally see the regulatory clarity they need to thrive.

Alex Thorn
Source Alex Thorn

In particular, DeFi projects and meme coins may experience a resurgence under Trump’s leadership. Trump has been vocal about supporting decentralized finance and even promoting a new DeFi project called World Liberty Financial (WLFI), which is set to integrate with Aave. Additionally, Trump’s unique status as a “walking meme” could help fuel the memecoin market, which often thrives on social media buzz and community-driven trends.

Crypto Predictions: What the Experts Are Saying

While many in the crypto space are optimistic about Trump’s potential return to power, not everyone shares this sentiment. Mark Cuban, an American businessman and crypto enthusiast, has expressed concerns about Trump’s economic policies. Cuban believes that while the crypto markets may see a short-term pump following a Trump win, the long-term effects could be detrimental due to inflationary pressures.

Trump’s proposed tariffs, particularly his promise to impose a 10% blanket tariff on all imports and up to 60% on goods from China, could lead to increased inflation. Higher inflation could push up interest rates, which may negatively impact Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Despite these concerns, the overall sentiment remains bullish for a Trump-led crypto market.

Conclusion: What Could a Trump Victory Mean for Crypto?

A Trump victory in the 2024 election could significantly alter the trajectory of the crypto market. With promises of regulatory reform, a pro-crypto SEC chair, and a commitment to reducing capital gains taxes, the conditions could be ripe for Bitcoin to surge past $100K and for altcoins to see explosive growth. However, it’s essential to remain cautious about the potential inflationary effects of Trump’s broader economic policies, which could dampen long-term growth.

As always, Coin Push Crypto Alerts will continue to monitor the crypto market closely and provide timely crypto signals to keep you informed of the latest trends. Remember, while we provide accurate data and insights, Coin Push does not offer buy, sell, or trading services—our goal is to equip you with the information you need to make informed decisions in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency.


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Disclaimer: The information provided in this article does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and should not be treated as such. Coin Push Crypto Alerts does not recommend buying, selling, or holding any cryptocurrency. Always conduct your due diligence and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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