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ETF Buyers Eye Undervalued Ether as Rally Looms: CryptoQuant

by | May 17, 2025 - 7:45

Ethereum (ETH) trades at $2,542.30 with a $302 billion market cap as institutional investors accumulate positions ahead of anticipated ETF approvals, according to CryptoQuant’s latest analysis. The second-largest cryptocurrency remains 36% below its all-time high despite gaining 41% year-to-date, with on-chain metrics suggesting undervaluation compared to network activity growth.

CoinGecko data shows ETH’s trading volume surged to $32.3 billion on May 14 before settling at $31.5 billion yesterday. This volatility comes as ETF applicants finalize documentation with the SEC, with Bloomberg analysts giving 75% odds of July approvals. CryptoQuant notes exchange reserves dropped 8% monthly as whales moved 240,000 ETH to cold storage.

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Ethereum’s Technical Setup

The 4-hour chart shows ETH consolidating above $2,500 support after breaking from a descending wedge pattern. Critical levels include:

  • Immediate resistance: $2,680 (January 2025 high)
  • Psychological barrier: $3,000
  • Support zone: $2,300–$2,400 (50-day EMA confluence)

Momentum indicators flash mixed signals with RSI at 62 and MACD showing weakening bullish divergence. CryptoQuant’s NUPL metric suggests 58% of holders remain in profit versus 89% during November 2025’s peak.

Institutional Accumulation Patterns

Glassnode data reveals ETF-linked wallets acquired 850,000 ETH ($2.16 billion) since May 1 through OTC desks. This matches Grayscale’s reported $1.9 billion in spot ETH holdings across its funds. Fidelity’s digital assets division disclosed a 12% increase in ETH custody solutions utilization this quarter.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange reports open interest in ETH futures reached $8.7 billion, with institutions holding 63% of long positions. Deribit’s options volume hit $1.4 billion daily this week as traders hedge against potential regulatory decisions.

Market Impact Analysis

Approval of spot ETH ETFs could trigger $4 billion in net inflows during the first three months, according to Galaxy Digital’s estimates. This would represent 1.3% of Ethereum’s circulating supply at current prices. CryptoQuant warns of potential 15–20% corrections if SEC delays decisions, though technical support at $2,200 should limit downsides.

Competitor chains face headwinds as Ethereum’s dominance ratio climbs to 19.3% – its highest level since the Merge upgrade. Layer-2 solutions like Arbitrum and Optimism saw TVL increase 22% month-over-month to $4.8 billion, per L2Beat data.

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The growing institutional interest in Ethereum underscores its evolving role as both a technology platform and monetary asset. Market participants await clearer regulatory guidance, with price action likely remaining volatile until SEC decisions materialize. Sustained ETF inflows could propel ETH toward its $4,800 all-time high within 12–18 months, reshaping the crypto market’s capital distribution dynamics.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Feel free to "borrow" this article β€” just don’t forget to link back to the original.

Dean J. Driessen

Dean J. Driessen

Editor-in-Chief / Coin Push Dean is a crypto enthusiast based in Amsterdam, where he follows every twist and turn in the world of cryptocurrencies and Web3.

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